Confirmed PCa pre-operative
Confirmed PCa pre-operative (positive biopsy, pre-treatment)
The risk calculators developed for men who have had a positive biopsy but have not yet received active treatment (e.g. radical prostatectomy, radiation therapy or hormone therapy) intend to predict pre-operatively the pathological stage:
- is the tumour still confined to the prostate?
- has the tumour spread beyond the prostate into surrounding tissues such as the seminal vesicles?
- has the tumour spread to the lymph nodes or more distant organs?
The prediction of the pathologic stage is used to make a decision if watchful waiting may be appropriate or active treatment is advisable. The most well-known risk calculators to predict pathological stage pre-operatively are:
1. Partin Tables
The best-known risk calculator for predicting pathological stage is the Partin Tables. This risk calculator takes into account
- pre-treatment PSA
- biopsy Gleason score
- clinical stage.
It is based on data from 5000 patients who underwent radical prostatectomy by a single surgeon at Johns Hopkins in the US.
More information: http://urology.jhu.edu/prostate/partintables.php
2. Center for Prostate Disease Research Tables (CPDR)
Similar to the Partin Tables, the Center for Prostate Disease Research (CPDR) Tables predict pathological stage based on pre-operative clinical parameters:
- race
- pre-treatment PSA
- biopsy Gleason score
- clinical stage.
In contrast to the Partin tables, they are based on a more racial diverse US population who underwent surgery at multiple institutions.
More information: http://www.cpdr.org/programs/database/preop.html
3. Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) or Kattan pre-treatment nomogram
Kattan, a biostatistician of the MSKCC in the US, has developed the Kattan pre-treatment nomogram to predict pre-operatively pathological stage based on
- pre-treatment PSA
- biopsy Gleason score
- clinical stage,
- age
- percentage of positive biopsy cores.
More information: http://www.mskcc.org/mskcc/applications/nomograms/PreTreatment.aspx
4. Prostate Risk Indicator
This risk calculator currently consists of 4 prostate risk indicators. Indicator 4 predicts for men with a positive biopsy, the likelihood of having indolent PCa. This takes into account
- Gleason score
- mm cancer in biopsy
- mm healthy tissue in biopsy
- prostate volume
- pre-treatment PSA
The Prostate Risk Indicator is based on data from 6288 Dutch men aged 55-74 years living in Rotterdam and participating in the European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (ERSPC) [1]. These men were tested for serum PSA and for any prostate abnormalities by DRE and TRUS and were subsequently followed-up over time.
More information: http://www.prostate-riskindicator.com/via.html
[1] Roobol MJ, Schröder FH, Kranse R, ERSPC, Rotterdam. A comparison of first and repeat (four years later) prostate cancer screening in a randomized cohort of symptomatic men aged 55-75 years using a biopsy indication of 3.0 ng/ml (results of ERSPC, Rotterdam). Prostate 2006;66:604-12.


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